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Tuesday, September 9, 2008

What if … back for good and … naked


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What if … back for good; and DotMG naked.

By the way, this is a good song, but the lyrics are not for you and me, just the title :), and maybe the part in bold…

Back For Good (Take That)

I guess now it's time for me to give up
I feel it's time
Got a picture of you beside me
Got your lipstick mark still on your coffee cup
Got a fist of pure emotion
Got a head of shattered dreams
Gotta leave it, gotta leave it all behind now

Whatever I said, whatever I did I didn't mean it
I just want you back for good
Whenever I'm wrong just tell me the song and I'll sing it
You'll be right and understood

Unaware but underlined I figured out this story
It wasn't good
But in the corner of my mind I celebrated glory
But that was not to be
In the twist of separation you excelled at being free
Can't you find a little room inside for me

Whatever I said, whatever I did I didn't mean it
I just want you back for good
Whenever I'm wrong just tell me the song and I'll sing it
You'll be right and understood

And we’ll be together, this time is forever
We’ll be fighting and forever we will be
So complete in our love
We will never be uncovered again

Whatever I said, whatever I did I didn’t mean it
I just want you back for good
Whenever I’m wrong just tell me the song and I’ll sing it
You’ll be right and understood

I guess now it’s time, that you came back for good 

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Sunday, September 7, 2008

Et si … fin de parcours pour Madagascar et Botswana


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La situation avant la dernière journée.

Madagascar a gagné à domicile face au Botswana par 1 but à 0. Un but somptueux de Praxis Rabemananjara. Mozambique à réussi à tenir tête à domicile face aux Ivoiriens. Le classement provisoire est le suivant:

Equipe             J   G   N   P   Pts    GD

Côte d’Ivoire      5   2   3   0    9      +5
Madagascar         5   1   3   1    6      -2
Mozambique         5   1   2   2    5      +1
Botswana           5   1   2   2    5      -4

La victoire malgache face au Botswana est précieuse pour améliorer son classement FIFA, mais insuffisante pour espérer pouvoir poursuivre la deuxième phase. En effet, un facteur que les analystes oublient de prendre en compte, quand ils parlent de meilleur deuxième, est une règle ajoutée par la FIFA après la défection de l’Erythrée. Après que l’Erythrée a déclaré forfait, la FIFA a dû modifier le règlement du calcul des points pour les meilleures deuxièmes, afin de donner la même chance pour l’équipe deuxième du groupe 11. Cette règle stipule que les matches opposant le deuxième de groupe au dernier de groupe ne seront pas pris en compte. Donc, même si Madagascar parvient à tenir deuxième de groupe, si le Botswana termine dernier de groupe, on ne comptera pas les 4 points gagnés contre cette équipe, et si c’est Mozambique qui finit dernier, on ne comptera pas les matches contre le Mozambique, dont la raclée 3-0 à Maputo.

Côte d’Ivoire qualifiée, sauf miracle.

La Côte d’Ivoire a presque obtenu son ticket de qualification à la deuxième phase. Et c’est grâce à la victoire de Madagascar sur le Botswana. En effet, la Côte d’Ivoire est assurée de la première place du groupe, sauf si elle perd à domicile face à Madagascar par quatre buts d’écarts ou plus, situation qui n’est pas impossible mais … improbable.

Botswana fait ses adieux.

Le Botswana peut dire adieu à la qualification. Bien sûr, il peut espérer la seconde place du groupe, en battant à domicile le Mozambique et en espérant que Madagascar ne gagne pas face à la Côte d’Ivoire. Mais avec ce schéma, il ne peut pas espérer figurer parmi les meilleurs deuxièmes, car ils seront crédités de seulement deux points. En effet, la règle de calcul des équipes repêchées comme meilleurs deuxièmes stipule que le match effectué par la deuxième équipe de chaque groupe et le dernier ne sera pas pris en compte (je sais, je repète la même phrase), et en conséquence, s’ils gagnent le match, Mozambique finira dernière de groupe, et les deux victoires contre Mozambique ne seront donc pas comptées.

Le Mozambique garde sa chance de qualification.

Après avoir tenu en échec la Côte d’Ivoire par un but partout à Maputo, Le Mozambique peut encore espérer poursuivre le chemin. En effet, s’ils arrivent à battre le Botswana à Gaborone, et que si Madagascar ne gagne pas face à la Côte d’Ivoire, ils seront seront assurés de la seconde place, et crédités de 5 points avec une différence de buts de +2 pour le comptage des points des équipes meilleures deuxièmes (2 points des matchs nuls contre Madagascar et Côte d’Ivoire et 3 points pour la victoire 3-0 contre Madagascar à Maputo. 5 points en quatre matches, c’est suffisant.

Madagascar ne finira peut-être pas dernière de groupe.

La bonne nouvelle à tirer de la victoire contre Botswana, pour Madagascar, est qu’on ne finira peut-être pas dernière de groupe, cette fois-ci. Si le face à face Botswana - Mozambique se solde par une victoire, l’équipe perdante sera classée dernière de groupe. Si les deux équipes se partage les points, et que Madagascar ne perd pas par deux buts d’écart ou plus, ce sera le Botswana qui sera classé dernier. Quant à la qualification au deuxième tour, Madagascar n’a pas d’autre alternative que de gagner contre le Côte d’Ivoire. On a donc une toute petite chance, mais l’histoire a montré que nos footballeurs sont incapables de saisir sa qualification lors d’un match capital de la dernière chance. Les chances pour Madagascar de finir deuxième sont, soit de gagner contre le Côte d’Ivoire, soit d’être capable de ramener un nul et en espérant que Botswana - Mozambique font aussi un match nul.

Analysons le second cas, qui serait le moins improbable: Les deux derniers matches du groupes se solderont par deux matches nuls. Madagascar finira donc deuxième, avec 7 points, mais ce sera le Botswana qui sera classé dernier. On enlève nos points gagnés contre le Botswana (4 points, goal différence +1) et il nous reste trois points avec un goal différence de -3. Ce ne sera pas suffisant.

Si on arrive à faire le miracle de battre les Ivoiriens chez eux, on aura 5 points si le Botswana finit dernier de groupe, et 8 si le Botswana gagne à domicile contre le Mozambique.

Suggestion de stratégie et pronostic

Après avoir vu ces analyses, et avoir compris que pour Madagascar, la seule alternative est de gagner contre les Ivoiriens dans leur fief, la stratégie que je suggèrerais pour le match contre la Côte d’Ivoire est de verrouiller le match par un système purement défensif. Il faut y aller avec le moral d’un perdant, mais qui aura tout à perdre. L’important ne sera donc pas une qualification mais de sortir la tête haute de cette phase en évitant la dernière place. Le seul objectif doit être de tenir en échec, encore, la Côte d’Ivoire, et de ne pas la laisser marquer un seul but. Autrement dit, un nul vierge ou bien, avec un peu de bonne chance, une victoire grâce à un but de contre-attaque. Ce sera un match où l’on pourra tester encore la compétence de notre système défensif. Et pour la qualification à la CAN 2012, on pourra espérer échapper au match de barrage.

Quant au pronostic, Botswana vaincra le Mozambique par 1 à 0, et Madagascar ramènera un nul vierge contre les Ivoiriens (si on suit ma suggestion) ou alors Madagascar sera aussi battue par le Côte d’Ivoire par 4 à rien si on tente un système offensif. On sera donc classé troisième de groupe.

Tuesday, September 2, 2008

Raha toa moa ka … tantara tsy milamina


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Aza vakiana.

Fa ho an’ireo mbola minia mamaky ihany dia … Disclaimer: Tsy travesti aho na schizophrène, fa mba fomba ny manoratra tantara à la première personne du singulier.

Alahady 31 aogositra 2008, mbola tsy niverina ihany ny fotoanako. Na ny kiboko na ny nonoko, toa tsy misy ilay mararirary isam-bolana izay mampilaza mialoha fa efa ho avy. Etsy andaniny koa anefa, tsy misy irony lazain’ny olona hoe te-handoa na marary an-doha na lasa kamokamo aho fa toa ny omaly tsy miova ihany. Rehefa sendra lasa ny eritreritro amin’ny hoe raha bevohoka tokoa moa izany, dia reko mangorintsina hatrany an-tampon-dohako ka hatrany am-paladiako. Toa misy afo mandoro tampoka izany ao anatiko ao, ary mivoaka eo no eo ny hatsembohako. Aviliko haingana miaraka amin’izay ihany koa ny eritreritro fa toa tahotra sy horohoro no hoentin’izany.

Raha sanatria ka … izany tokoa moa? Inona no holazaiko an’i Dada sy Mama? Dia hanao ahoana ny ho aviko? Ny hanala zaza aloha dia tsy ho vitako mihitsy e! Tsy hosimbaiko amin’izany ny fahasalamako sy ny ain’ny tsy manan-tsiny.

Nojereko ny famantaranandro, amin’ny enina ora maraina. Tsy nisasa akory aho fa nofafafafako tamin’ny servieta nolemana fotsiny ny tarehiko, dia nampiditra akanjo mafana aho ary nivoaka, nitondra vola hividianako fitaovana fitiliana eny amin’ny fivarotam-panafody. Lavitra vao nisy fa alahady ny andro, ka hay ireo toeram-pivarotam-panafody teo akaikinay samy tsy misy mpiandry raharaha. Telo arivo ariary ny vidiny, ary natoron’ilay mpivarotra ahy tsara ny fampiasana azy. Nihazakazaka toy ny tsy teo aho nody, soa fa mbola poritra tsara, dia nampiasaiko ilay izy. Atsoboka ao anaty amany mandritra ny 10 segondra, dia miandry iray minitra dia jerena, raha tsipika mena roa no miseho dia ao izany, raha tsipika mena iray dia tsy mbola bevohoka, ary raha sendra tsy misy tsipika miseho kosa dia mila mamerina fitiliana hono no dikan’izany.

Toy ny adiny iray iny fitopolo segondra iny, nakimpiko kely ny masoko dia nahiratro hibanjina ilay valiny. Mba hampihena ny fitaintainako dia izao no nomasahiko tao an-tsaina: Jereo milamina fotsiny fa ity no midika hoe tapitra ny fitaintainana, rehefa hita izy hita eo izay hatao. Saingy, indrisy … Tsy nitovy tamin’ny endrik’ilay tsipika mena teo amin’ny sary tamin’ny fonon’ilay fitaovana fa toa menamena manjavozavo saro-bakiana izany. Ilay ao amin’ny sary tena hita mihitsy hoe mena, ary manify dia manify latsaky ny iray milimetatra, fa ilay valiny hitako kosa ny hateviny mitovy amin’ilay hoe tsipika roa, saingy tsy miavaka mihitsy. Tsy hitako izay hatao, ity izany ilay midika hoe tsy azo antoka ny valiny fa mila averina, hoy aho. Tsy nety ary ve ny fanatsobohako azy teo?

Tapa-kevitra aho fa handeha hitady fitiliana hafa indray, ary làlan-kafa indray no nizorako, fa tsy ilay mpivarotra teo. Nahita ihany aho, ary moramora kokoa fa dimanjato sy roa arivo. Hafa indray ny fampiasàna azy ity fa atsoboka mandritra ny iray minitra be izao, ary miandry folo minitra indray vao vakiana.

Toy ny tsy teo aho dia tonga tao an-trano indray, mbola misy ambina poritra kely ihany. Naverina indray ny fitiliana, ary raha iny efa lena tsara iny ilay fitaovana dia niezaka nitadidy aho hoe oviana tokoa moa no tonga farany ny fotoanako? Teo vao tadidiko fa … hay moa aho lehilahy, tsy mbola tonga fotoana izany ary tsy ho tonga fotoana mihitsy mandrakizay.

C’est débile fa izaho mort de rire tsisy ohatr’izany amin’ny resak’adala ohatr’io. Manoratra azy eto aza aho mbola mivanitika be.

Inspiration: L’âne dans Shrek 1: Je ne sens plus mes orteils, je ne sens plus mes orteils…. J’AI PAS D’ORTEILS

Timon à Pumbaa, quand Pumbaa s’est persuadé qu’il a pondu un oeuf de crocodile, et que le crocodile en question est un phacochère: Pumbaa, Pumbaa, Pumbaa, tu es un animal mâle du sexe masculin, et tu ne peux en aucun cas pondre quoi que ce soit, et surtout pas un oeuf.


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